How reliable are target prices for stocks? Target prices for stocks, as issued by financial analysts, generally show very limited reliability and should not be seen as precise predictions for future stock prices. Studies reveal that roughly 30-54% of target prices are met or surpassed within the forecast period—with errors and bias common among these forecasts. Analysts can provide valuable information on prospective future earnings, but target prices tend to be based on valuation levels (price-earnings multiples) that are almost always much higher or lower than what might be considered normal levels. Valuation levels are a function of several factors including prospective growth rates and consistency of past growth. The higher the prospective growth rate, the higher the valuation. But there are several caveats. One is that valuations will be reduced if the past had significant ups and downs from year to year. The other is that consistency of past ...
How concerned should I be about personal identity theft? Personal identity theft remains a significant and growing concern in 2025, as the number of incidents continues to climb, affecting people of all ages and backgrounds. Over 1.1 million cases of identity theft were reported to the FTC in 2024, a number that increased by nearly 10% compared to the previous year, while fraud losses rose to over $12.5 billion. Why It's a Major Concern Identity theft affects millions annually, with nearly 1 in 5 Americans reporting some form of incident in recent years, and the risk is not diminishing. The most common forms involve fraudulent credit card accounts, synthetic identity fraud (mixing real and fake information), and financial account takeovers. Thieves often leverage data from breaches, phishing, and misuse of personal facts shared online. New techniques, especially the use of AI for generating deepfake identities or more convincing scam...